Top Real Estate Trends 2025 — Global Market Outlook
- International Property Alerts
- September 20, 2025
Top real estate trends set to shape the market over the next six months
1. Australia: Home Prices Poised for Surge as Rate Cuts Approach
Economists from Westpac and AMP forecast a 9–10% rise in Australian home prices by 2026, driven by anticipated interest rate cuts and an increase in first-home buyers backed by government support schemes. This momentum stems from low housing supply, improving wages, and growing investor activity.
2. China: Slower Price Drop Amid Lingering Weakness
A Reuters poll indicates that new-home prices in China are expected to decline by ~3.8% in 2025, improving from earlier forecasts. However, structural weaknesses such as high unsold inventory, slower land sales, and project delays suggest the market’s full recovery may take until late 2026 or 2027.
3. Commercial Real Estate: Signs of Rebound, But Cautious
Global commercial property deals reached $791 billion through June, a 15% year-on-year increase. While transaction values rose, the volume of deals actually fell, indicating price inflation rather than market depth. Recovery hinges on renewed confidence and deal flow rather than just valuations.
4. Spain: Real Estate Investment to Soar Nearly 20%
Analysts at Cushman & Wakefield, Savills, and Deloitte expect a 20% surge in Spain’s real estate investment by year-end, fueled by growth in residential, hospitality, logistics, and commercial sectors. This reflects renewed investor confidence from solid economic fundamentals and persistent supply constraints.
5. UK Housing Market Showing Early Signs of Recovery
After a slump caused by fiscal adjustments, UK housing demand is returning. The RICS June 2025 survey shows a net balance of +3% in buyer demand, up from -22% in May. Modest house-price growth of around 3.5–4% for 2025 is anticipated, provided mortgage rates soften later in the year.
6. US Housing Market Remains “Frozen,” Relief May Come Late 2025
US home sales are nearing a three-decade low due to prohibitively high mortgage rates and tight affordability. While some cities like Tampa and Dallas show improving conditions, a significant rebound likely hinges on Fed rate cuts, potentially lowering mortgage rates to around 6.5%—possibly in late 2025 or early 2026.
7. Climate Resilience Enters Real Estate Due Diligence
ASTM International has unveiled a new Property Resilience Assessment (PRA) standard that integrates climate risk into real estate evaluations—covering threats such as floods and wildfires. Adopting the PRA will become vital for investors, developers, and lenders managing future-proof portfolios.
8. Branded Residences Redefining Luxury Real Estate
The branded residence market—homes linked to prestigious hospitality, lifestyle, and luxury brands—is expanding. Forecasts estimate growth from 611 schemes today to over 1,000 by 2030. Buyers are increasingly paying a premium (around 33%) for these properties, a trend driven by desires for curated communities and enhanced services.
9. Supply Shortages Accelerating in Commercial & Housing Markets
JLL reports that supply shortages, especially in North America and Europe, are set to intensify in 2025—spanning residential, office, and logistics sectors. Data centers are an exception, seeing strong ongoing demand and investment despite broader supply constraints.
Summary: Real Estate Trends Over the Next 6 Months
Trend Market Impact
- Australia Potential 9–10% property price growth driven by rate cuts
- China Slower decline, but weakness persists into 2026–27
- Commercial Real Estate Value rebound, but deal volume remains subdued
- Spain 20% investment jump expected in multiple property sectors
- UK Housing Early recovery in buyer demand; modest price growth forecasted
- US Housing “Frozen” market; relief expected with potential rate reductions
- Climate Resilience PRA standard marks new era in risk-aware due diligence
- Branded Residences Strong growth; lifestyle-driven demand commanding premiums
- Global Supply Shortages Tight supply across key asset classes fueling investment demand
📧 elly@internationalpropertyalerts.com
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